Vox writes Republicans are dying at a faster rate than Democrats "Daniel McGraw for Politico becomes the first person I've seen to try to precisely run the numbers of this, projecting that the shift in population will give Democrats about 453,000 more votes nationally even if nobody changes their mind"
"A couple of caveats. On the one hand, African Americans on average die younger than white people, which tends to tilt this calculus toward Republicans. But on the other hand, women tend to live longer than men, which should have an impact in the opposite direction. Consequently, don't bet your life on this 453,000 figure being exactly correct. But it's a decent ballpark estimate. Obama beat Romney in 2012 by about 5 million votes, so a death differential on the order of 10 percent of that margin isn't trivial."